Comparative macro timeline

CURRENT EVOLUTIONARY TREND

Class KPI (Key Performance Indicator) 2025 (Baseline) 2045 (Edge of Precipice) 2060 (Collapse) 2125 (Entropic Equilibrium)
Atmospheric/Climatic GHG Concentration ~425 ppm ~470 ppm (target failure) ~500 ppm ~450 ppm (post-industrial collapse decline)
Atmospheric/Climatic Temperature Increase +1.3°C +1.8°C (overshoot in progress) +2.7°C +3.5°C (climate inertia)
Atmospheric/Climatic Sea Level +0.25 m +0.5 m +1.1 m +2.5 m
Atmospheric/Climatic AMOC Status Slowed (alert signal) Critical (imminent collapse) Collapsed Collapsed (new climatic regime)
Atmospheric/Climatic Extreme Climate Events Index: 100 Index: 250 Index: 600 Index: 550 (new violent normality)
Biological/Ecosystemic Human Population 8.1 billion 9.2 billion (peak) 6.5 billion (famines, pandemics) 0.8 billion
Biological/Ecosystemic Biodiversity Index (LPI) -70% (vs 1970) -85% -95% (sixth extinction completed) -96% (only most resilient species survive)
Biological/Ecosystemic Net Deforestation -5M hectares/year -2M hectares/year (ineffective efforts) +1M hectares/year (abandonment) 0 (few forests remaining)
Biological/Ecosystemic % Fertile Soil 30% 25% 18% 15%
Biological/Ecosystemic Population Density 54/km² 62/km² 44/km² 10/km² (in protected enclaves)
Socio-Economic Global Gini Index 1.05 0.80 (inequality increase) 0.90 (elites vs rest) 0.50 (in small post-collapse communities)
Socio-Economic Social Trust Index Low Very Low Collapsed (tribal conflicts) Low (trust only within clan)
Socio-Economic % Syntrophic "Work" < 5% < 3% < 1% (subsistence only) ~100% (but only to survive)
Technological/Energy Energy Balance 80% Fossil 60% Fossil, 30% Renewable 30% Fossil, 40% Renewable (unstable grids) 10% Renewable (lost/broken technology)
Technological/Energy Material Consumption 100% (2025 base) 110% 40% (industrial collapse) 5%
Technological/Energy % Recycling and Reuse ~10% ~20% ~15% (collapsed logistics systems) ~50% (pure necessity)
Technological/Energy CO₂ Removal (CDR) Negligible 0.5 Gt/year (too little) 0.1 Gt/year (abandoned technologies) 0
Technological/Energy Transportation 100% (2025 base) 120% 20% (globalization collapse) 2%

 

 

 

PLANET XXII

Class KPI (Key Performance Indicator) 2025 (Baseline) 2045 (Great Turning) 2060 (Transition) 2125 (Syntrophic Equilibrium)
Atmospheric/Climatic GHG Concentration ~425 ppm ~450 ppm (peak reached) ~410 ppm (massive CDR) ~350 ppm
Atmospheric/Climatic Temperature Increase +1.3°C +1.6°C (peak and descent beginning) +1.2°C +0.8°C (new stability)
Atmospheric/Climatic Sea Level +0.25 m +0.4 m (unavoidable inertia) +0.45 m (stabilized) +0.3 m (slow retreat)
Atmospheric/Climatic AMOC Status Slowed Critical (but stabilized) Recovering Stable
Atmospheric/Climatic Extreme Climate Events Index: 100 Index: 180 (crisis peak) Index: 90 Index: 50 (new stability)
Biological/Ecosystemic Human Population 8.1 billion 7.5 billion (transition beginning) 4.0 billion 1.2 billion
Biological/Ecosystemic Biodiversity Index (LPI) -70% -75% (lowest point) -50% (trend reversal) -20% (full regeneration)
Biological/Ecosystemic Net Deforestation -5M hectares/year +2M hectares/year (reforestation) +10M hectares/year +5M hectares/year
Biological/Ecosystemic % Fertile Soil 30% 35% 50% 60%
Biological/Ecosystemic Population Density 54/km² 50/km² 30/km² 40/km² (in micro-clusters) TEMPERATE ZONE
Socio-Economic Global Gini Index 1.05 0.50 0.30 0.15
Socio-Economic Social Trust Index Low Medium (in pioneer communities) High Very High
Socio-Economic % Syntrophic "Work" < 5% 30% 60% ~80%
Technological/Energy Energy Balance 80% Fossil 20% Fossil, 70% Renewable 50% Fusion, 50% Renewable 70% Fusion, 30% Renewable
Technological/Energy Material Consumption 100% 70% 40% < 20%
Technological/Energy % Recycling and Reuse ~10% ~50% ~80% > 95%
Technological/Energy CO₂ Removal (CDR) Negligible 2 Gt/year 10 Gt/year 5 Gt/year (maintenance)
Technological/Energy Transportation 100% 40% 10% < 1%

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